Hide menu

In general, it was found that temperature sensitivity and temperature standard deviation were the most important factors affecting the risk of extinction and time taken to go extinct. Species-richness showed a strong effect on mean extinction risk of species within a small product interval of temperature sensitivity and temperature variability. But connectance, Hill exponent and species preferences did not have any effects.

Risk of extinction

The results showed that:

  • Extinction risk of species increased with increasing food web size.
  • Food web robustness decreased with increasing food web size.
  • Extinction risk of 50% of species decreased with decreasing food web size.
  • Rapid increase in extinction risk when temperature variability crossed lower threshold.
Figure 4

 

Figure 4 shows the logistic regression curves with 95% confidence band [black, red, blue, green curve for 6, 12, 18, 24 species respectively] showing the risk of extinction as a function of the product of temperature sensitivity and temperature standard deviation. Formula denotes the linear regression equations. 10%, 50% and 90% extinction thresholds are also indicated in figure.

Time to extinction

It was found that the time taken by the food web to lose 1/6 of the species decreased as the number of species in food web increased.

Figure 5

 

Figure 5 shows the average time taken by food web community to lose 1/6 of species from the web. Regression curves with 95% confidence band [(a) black curve for 6 species (b) red curve for 12 species web (c) blue curve for 18 species web and (d) green curve for 24 species] shows the average time taken to extinction as a function of the product of temperature sensitivity and temperature standard deviation. Formula denotes the linear regression equations with intercept and confidence interval around the slope coefficient.


Responsible for this page: Director of undergraduate studies Biology
Last updated: 05/20/12